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Science May 4, 2026

APOPHIS: EARTH'S CLOSEST CALL EVER—IMPACT IMMINENT?

APOPHIS: EARTH'S CLOSEST CALL EVER—IMPACT IMMINENT?

Imagine a celestial visitor, a colossal rock hurtling through space, roughly the height of the Eiffel Tower. This isn't a science fiction scenario; it's the reality of asteroid Apophis, and in 2029, it will make an extraordinarily close pass by Earth.

On April 13, 2029, Apophis will sweep within just 20,000 miles of our planet’s surface – closer than many of the satellites we rely on daily. This proximity, while breathtaking, poses no immediate threat of impact, according to extensive scientific observation.

When Apophis was first discovered in 2004, a wave of concern rippled through the scientific community. Initial calculations suggested a potential impact in 2029, 2036, or even 2068. The asteroid was quickly classified as “potentially hazardous,” demanding intense scrutiny.

Astronomers, working tirelessly with both optical telescopes and ground-based radar, meticulously tracked Apophis’s trajectory. Each observation refined their understanding, gradually dispelling the initial fears. Now, NASA confidently predicts no risk of impact for at least a century.

The discovery itself was a fleeting moment. Astronomers Roy Tucker, David Tholen, and Fabrizio Bernardi, at Kitt Peak National Observatory in Arizona, spotted Apophis on June 19, 2004, but could only observe it for two short days due to technical difficulties and unfavorable weather.

Confirmation came months later, in December 2004, thanks to a team of astronomers in Australia. This collaborative effort was crucial in establishing Apophis’s orbit and initiating long-term monitoring.

The 2029 close approach isn’t just a spectacle; it’s a unique scientific opportunity. Observatories worldwide, and those in space, are preparing to study Apophis in unprecedented detail, hoping to unlock secrets about its composition and structure.

NASA is already preparing for this encounter. The OSIRIS-REx spacecraft, fresh from its successful mission to asteroid Bennu, has been redirected and renamed OSIRIS-APophis EXplorer (OSIRIS-APEX). It’s currently en route to rendezvous with Apophis shortly after its Earth flyby.

Adding to this international effort, the European Space Agency (ESA) is also dispatching a spacecraft to study the asteroid. This coordinated approach promises a wealth of new data and insights.

Remarkably, for observers in the Eastern Hemisphere, Apophis will be visible to the naked eye – no telescope needed, weather permitting. It will appear as a bright, moving star, a tangible connection to the vastness of space.

But the most fascinating aspect of this event lies in the gravitational forces at play. As Apophis passes Earth, it will be dramatically distorted – pulled, twisted, stretched, and squeezed by our planet’s gravity in a way that only occurs during extremely close encounters.

This gravitational interaction will subtly alter Apophis’s orbit, increasing its size and lengthening its orbital period around the Sun. It’s a cosmic dance, a demonstration of the powerful forces that shape our solar system.