The Philippines is bracing for the potential arrival of Tropical Depression Haishen, which is expected to enter the country's Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) as early as Monday evening.
According to the state weather bureau, Haishen is currently located 1,230 kilometers east of Eastern Visayas, packing maximum sustained winds of 55 kilometers per hour (kph), gusts of up to 70 kph, and moving northwestward at 10 kph.
Once inside PAR, the disturbance will be assigned the local name Josie, the country's 10th tropical cyclone this year.
PAGASA forecasts Haishen to intensify into a tropical storm within the next 12 hours before gradually weakening due to unfavorable environmental conditions.
However, it is less likely to directly affect the weather and sea conditions in the next few days, according to the state weather bureau.
The tropical depression is also expected to be short-lived, as it is forecast to exit PAR by Wednesday.
In the meantime, three tropical cyclone-like vortices (TCLVs) are expected to form within the next two weeks, based on PAGASA's Tropical Cyclone Threat Potential Forecast.
During Week 1, TCLV 1 is likely to develop over the northwestern boundary of the PAGASA Monitoring Domain (PMD), while TCLV 2 is expected to form over the eastern portion of the PMD, both with a low chance of developing into tropical cyclones.
During Week 2, TCLV 2 is expected to move over the northwestern portion of the PMD and will continue to have a low chance of developing into a tropical cyclone.
TCLV 3 is likely to develop over the northwestern boundary of the PMD and is also expected to have a low likelihood of intensifying into a tropical cyclone during the forecast period.
Tropical cyclone threat is active in Week 1 and less likely in Week 2, according to PAGASA.
