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Business March 17, 2026

DIESEL PRICE TSUNAMI: P115/LITER LOOMS!

DIESEL PRICE TSUNAMI: P115/LITER LOOMS!

A looming crisis at the pump threatens Filipino households as diesel prices brace for a potentially staggering surge, possibly reaching P115 per liter this week. The escalating conflict in the Middle East is directly fueling this dramatic increase, sending shockwaves through the nation’s energy sector.

Energy Secretary Sharon Garin confirmed the grim forecast, stating that exceeding P100 per liter for diesel is not only possible, but increasingly likely, with estimates climbing as high as P115. This comes on the heels of already substantial price hikes, marking the 12th consecutive weekly increase for diesel and kerosene, and the 10th for gasoline.

Beginning Tuesday, March 17th, consumers will face increases of P12.90 to P16.60 per liter for gasoline, a substantial P20.40 to P23.90 for diesel, and P6.90 to P8.90 for kerosene. Monitoring indicates gasoline could reach P91.60 per liter, while kerosene may jump to P143.79.

Several major oil companies, including Shell, Petron, and Total, are attempting to soften the blow by implementing the increases in stages over the week. However, this staggered approach doesn’t diminish the overall impact on consumers already struggling with rising costs.

The current situation represents a record high for fuel price jumps and overall expense, according to Secretary Garin. The primary driver is the ongoing tension involving the US, Israel, and Iran, which has led to concerns over the closure of the Strait of Hormuz – a critical waterway for global oil transport, handling roughly one-fifth of the world’s supply.

The Philippines, heavily reliant on imported crude oil – 98% of which originates in the Middle East – is particularly vulnerable to these global fluctuations. This dependence leaves the nation exposed to the volatility of international markets and geopolitical instability.

Despite the alarming price increases, Secretary Garin assured the public that the country currently possesses an adequate fuel supply expected to last until the end of April. Efforts are underway to secure additional supplies from South Korea, Thailand, Singapore, and Japan, aiming to prevent potential shortages.

Furthermore, negotiations are in progress with Russia for crude oil supply, facilitated by the easing of US sanctions. The state-run Philippine National Oil Co. is also actively seeking alternative suppliers to bolster national stockpiles.

The current oil deregulation law, enacted in 1998, allows companies to adjust prices based on market forces without government intervention. However, Secretary Garin suggested a need to revisit this law, acknowledging its limitations during times of crisis. She believes some level of control is necessary to protect the public interest.

While electricity supply remains stable, the Energy Secretary emphasized the importance of responsible consumption. Consumer groups, like ILAW Pilipinas, are urging the government to implement immediate relief measures, such as suspending or reducing local taxes and tariffs on fuel and electricity, to mitigate the impact on households and businesses.

The potential for increased electricity prices underscores the swift and far-reaching consequences of international conflicts on everyday Filipino life, highlighting the urgent need for proactive solutions and a stable energy future.

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