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Business May 7, 2026

EXPLOSIVE: War's Limited Impact on Philippine Banks – Or Is It Just the Calm Before the Storm?

EXPLOSIVE: War's Limited Impact on Philippine Banks – Or Is It Just the Calm Before the Storm?

The Middle East war rages on, but the Philippine banking system stands unshaken—armed with formidable buffers that make direct impacts barely a whisper. The Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas confirms the industry is built to weather this crisis.

The conflict's real sting hits through indirect channels: soaring oil prices, inflationary fires, currency swings, and tighter global conditions. Yet banks remain insulated, their strong capital and liquidity positions acting as impenetrable shields against external spillovers.

In the second half of 2025, Philippine banks showcased stunning resilience despite economic headwinds from a graft scandal and global uncertainties. Stable funding conditions, balance-sheet expansion, and robust capital buffers tell a story of a sector built to last.

Banks capitalized on easing macroeconomic conditions and the BSP's monetary policy cycle. They prudently rebalanced portfolios toward high-quality, liquid instruments while keeping risk management flexible. Core operations stayed anchored on stable resident deposits—a reliable, low-cost funding source.

Strong earnings from core and ancillary activities fueled organic growth, letting banks reinforce buffer-building through retained earnings while sustaining lending and investments. Combined assets soared 8.9% annually to P29.9 trillion by end-December, outpacing the economy itself. Deposits climbed 7.4% to P21.9 trillion.

Capital stood at a massive P3.7 trillion as of end-December, up 8.9% year on year. The central bank proudly announces capital adequacy ratios far exceeding minimum requirements—15.8% solo and 16.2% consolidated, against a 10% floor.

Even amid the war, some banks expressed capital worries, but BSP Governor Eli M. Remolona, Jr. dismisses systemic fears. Liquidity indicators remain sky-high, with universal and commercial banks posting a liquidity coverage ratio of 172.3% and a net stable funding ratio of 132.7%—far above regulatory minimums.

But asset quality risks lurk beneath the surface. Robust domestic demand drives credit growth, yet geopolitical shocks and weakening conditions could threaten loan portfolios. Banks adopt selective growth strategies, shifting exposures toward households, electricity, real estate, and wholesale while pulling back from volatile activities.

Lending to priority sectors surges too. Loans to micro, small, and medium enterprises jumped 6.4% to P580.1 billion, while barangay micro business enterprises exploded 47.4% to P169.8 million. Banks exceeded mandated allocations for agriculture, fisheries, and rural development, with loans hitting P2.8 trillion.

Despite aggressive lending, asset quality remains healthy. The nonperforming loan ratio improved to 3.1% from 3.3% a year earlier, and NPL coverage stayed high at 97.2%. Loan expansion and better repayment behavior outpace problem loan growth.

Yet risks persist. Softer domestic growth

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