UMVA has learned that a significant development is unfolding in the Ashton-in-Makerfield area, a key town in a crucial constituency, as a major political figure prepares to shake up the local landscape.
The high street in Ashton-in-Makerfield, a hub of activity in the constituency, is bracing for a substantial influx of attention, with local residents being warned about the "circus that's about to arrive in town and the inconvenience that will result." However, the politician, Andy Burnham, has expressed hope that the area's newfound prominence will be a positive force, bringing long-overlooked communities to the forefront of national debate.
Contrary to popular perception, "Makersfield" is not a town, but rather a collection of settlements, including Ashton-in-Makersfield and Ince-in-Makerfield, situated roughly midway between Manchester and Liverpool. This area, with a population of just over 100,000 people at the time of the last general election, is predominantly white, with a child poverty rate lower than the broader north-west of England, but also lower house prices.
The area's history is deeply rooted in two major industries: cotton and coal. Burnham has emphasized the devastating impact of deindustrialization, which he attributes to Margaret Thatcher's government in the 1980s, draining away "economic, social and political power" from the region. This legacy continues to shape local politics, with strong ties to the Labour Party, which has historically dominated the constituency.
However, recent developments suggest a shift in the political landscape. In 2019, the Conservatives came within 5,000 votes of taking the seat, and in summer 2024, Reform UK posed a significant threat to the new Labour candidate, Josh Simons. With Sir Keir Starmer's government facing growing opposition, it seemed increasingly likely that Reform would claim the constituency in the next election.
The entry of Andy Burnham into the fray has altered calculations, as he presents himself as a strong northern voice in opposition to the Prime Minister. His candidacy offers voters a chance to replace Starmer with a popular, local leader. For Robert Kenyon and Reform UK, a victory would be a powerful statement, demonstrating their ability to challenge Labour's most prominent figure on his home turf.
The constituency's history of voting, including a 65% Leave vote in the Brexit referendum, has left a lasting impact on local attitudes. While opinions may have shifted since then, concerns over issues like immigration persist. As the election approaches, it remains to be seen how Burnham's popularity and Reform UK's momentum will influence the outcome in this critical constituency.
