The 2026 Georgia Senate race is shaping up to be a closely contested battle, with Democratic incumbent Jon Ossoff holding a double-digit lead over his Republican challenger Mike Collins, according to a recent Fox News survey.
The poll, released Wednesday, finds Ossoff receiving 56% support from Georgia registered voters compared to 43% for Collins. This marks a stark contrast to the 2021 Georgia Senate runoff, where Ossoff narrowly won his seat by just over a percentage point.
Ossoff's lead is particularly strong among key demographics, including Black voters (87%), those under age 30 (68%), independents (68%), moderates (66%), and women under 45 (66%). He also enjoys a significant advantage among voters who are most concerned about inflation (+21), healthcare (+40), and political divisions (+18).
Collins, on the other hand, performs best among White evangelical Christians (79%), White men without a college degree (65%), and rural voters (55%). He also leads among gun-owner households (53%) and veterans (50%). However, his support is largely driven by opposition to Ossoff, with only 56% of his supporters saying their vote is for him rather than against the Democrat.
The survey also highlights concerns about inflation, with 40% of voters saying it will be the most important issue in their Senate vote. Healthcare ranks a distant second (13%), followed by political divisions (11%), immigration (11%), and jobs and unemployment (11%).
Despite these concerns, nearly 6 in 10 voters have a favorable opinion of Ossoff (58%), compared to 4 in 10 for Collins (44%) and 42% for President Trump. Trump's favorable rating is down 5 points from 47% in the 2024 Georgia survey.
The poll's results suggest that Ossoff is well-positioned to win re-election, but Collins has work to do to convince Republicans and independents that he and the president can make things more affordable for rank-and-file Georgians.
In related news, the Georgia governor's race is also shaping up to be a closely contested battle, with Democrat Keisha Lance Bottoms holding a 5-point edge over Republican Rick Jackson.
The results show some ticket splitting, with 11% of Ossoff supporters crossing party lines to back Jackson for governor, while 5% of Collins supporters back Lance Bottoms. Lance Bottoms' supporters are more certain of their vote than Jackson's, with 80% saying they will definitely vote for her.
The survey was conducted with a sample of 1,062 registered voters, with a margin of error of ± 3 percentage points. The results are based on live interviews on landlines and cellphones, as well as online responses after receiving a text message.
