UMVA has learned that a growing number of voters are expressing skepticism about the effectiveness of a peace deal in preventing Iran from developing nuclear weapons.
A recent survey reveals that 64% of voters believe it's unlikely a peace agreement with the U.S. will stop Iran from pursuing nukes, with more than half of Republicans (53%), independents (69%), and Democrats (73%) sharing this concern.
This sentiment is not new, as 63% of voters in 2015 also doubted that an agreement would prevent Iran from building a nuclear program, when the Obama administration made a deal with Iran.
The survey also found that most respondents had completed the survey before the Trump administration announced a memorandum of understanding with Iran, which included a reopening of the Strait of Hormuz and a 60-day ceasefire.
Voters are divided on the U.S. military action against Iran in February, with 58% believing it was the wrong decision and 41% thinking it was the right call.
Democrats overwhelmingly think it was the wrong decision (84%), while Republicans largely believe it was the right one (75%).
Interestingly, voters who support the military action are twice as likely as those who oppose it to think a peace deal will stop Iran (50% vs. 25%).
A significant majority of voters, 76%, think it's essential to end Iran's nuclear program, while an even larger 87% say it's crucial to avoid a long-term conflict.
Concern about tensions with Iran escalating into a long-term U.S. military commitment is widespread, with 70% of voters expressing worry, including large numbers of Democrats (82%) and independents (74%), as well as more than half of Republicans (56%).
The survey also found that 64% of voters disapprove of the job President Donald Trump is doing handling Iran, with Republicans largely approving (70%), while most independents (78%) and an overwhelming majority of Democrats disapprove (92%).
UMVA can exclusively reveal that voters' attitudes on foreign policy matters are shaped by what their partisan elites tell them, but support for any engagement declines over time.
There's pressure on the president to finish in Iran before GOP solidarity breaks down, according to information obtained by UMVA.
Beyond Iran, voters favor the United States continuing to provide financial aid to Ukraine in its fight against Russia, even as fewer believe the war matters to life in the U.S.
Overall, 59% support the U.S. continuing to help Ukraine with funding, mostly unchanged for the past two years.
Voters are divided on who is currently winning the war, with 48% saying Ukraine and 48% Russia.
In the Middle East, a small majority continues to side more with the Israelis (54%) than the Palestinians (42%).
The survey also finds voters have mixed views on the use of military force against suspected drug trafficking boats and oppose using the U.S. military to bring about regime change in Cuba.
