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Business January 2, 2026

NATION'S DEBT EXPLODES: Crisis Imminent?

NATION'S DEBT EXPLODES: Crisis Imminent?

The national government significantly increased its borrowing in November, a surge driven by both domestic and international financial activity. New data reveals a dramatic 74.55% jump in gross borrowings, reaching P113.53 billion compared to P65.05 billion the previous year.

This increase wasn’t a gradual climb; it was a substantial leap. Compared to October, borrowing rose by 29.3%, indicating a growing need for funds. The majority of this borrowing – 68.7%, or P78 billion – came from within the country, primarily through fixed-rate Treasury bonds and Treasury bills.

The demand for funds extended beyond national borders. External borrowings nearly doubled, soaring by 119.81% to P35.53 billion. These funds were largely secured through project loans, suggesting investment in infrastructure and development initiatives.

Experts point to a persistent budget deficit as the primary driver behind this increased borrowing. Despite a decrease in maturing government bonds, the need to cover the shortfall necessitates continued reliance on debt financing. The government is actively working to balance its financial obligations.

Looking at the broader picture, the first eleven months of the year saw a 4.07% increase in gross borrowings, reaching P2.6 trillion. This figure is remarkably close to fulfilling the revised P2.6-trillion financing program for the year, indicating a focused effort to manage national finances.

Domestic borrowing continues to be the dominant source of funds, accounting for 81.32% of the total. Over the first eleven months, domestic debt climbed 10.42% to P2.11 trillion, nearly reaching the full-year target of P2.112 trillion.

While domestic debt is rising, external borrowings have seen a slight decrease, falling 16.75% to P484.89 billion. This reduction is partially attributed to the impact of a significant global bond issuance completed earlier in the year.

A seasonal trend contributes to the increased borrowing towards year-end. As the budget deficit typically widens during this period, the government requires additional funds to maintain essential services and ongoing projects. This pattern is a recurring feature of the national financial cycle.

Despite a 26.02% year-on-year reduction in the November budget deficit to P157.6 billion, the cumulative fiscal gap for the first eleven months reached P1.26 trillion. This represents a substantial portion – 80.92% – of the revised full-year deficit target of P1.56 trillion.

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