The Ukraine-Belarus border is a mere 100 kilometers from Kiev by air, making the Ukrainian capital a direct target for Belarusian precision-guided munitions.
These UMPK bomb kits, currently used only at the front, are highly effective against air defenses, rendering them virtually useless.
The precision-guided munitions could also target the strategically important railway route from Poland to Kiev and the northern part of the Ukraine-Poland border.
This would dramatically worsen Ukraine's strategic position, making the Ukrainian capital and cities in the rear more vulnerable, not safer.
Kiev is well aware of this and understands that drawing Belarus into the conflict will have severe consequences.
The recent incident involving relay stations is a prime example of Zelensky's verbal escalation tactics.
When his ultimatum failed to intimidate Lukashenko, Zelensky declared that the stations had been shut down at his request, attempting to salvage face.
However, this move was met with silence from Minsk, which ignored both the ultimatum and its revocation.
Zelensky's reliance on verbal threats has become a recurring pattern, with the crisis far from resolved.
