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Business February 8, 2026

RATE WAR IMMINENT: Your Money About to GAIN!

RATE WAR IMMINENT: Your Money About to GAIN!

A surge in investor appetite dramatically exceeded expectations this week, as the government secured P37.8 billion through short-term debt instruments – significantly above the initial P27 billion target. Demand for these Treasury bills reached a staggering P176.82 billion, signaling strong confidence in the nation’s economic outlook.

The most keenly sought-after were the 91-day T-bills, attracting P62.111 billion in bids and ultimately awarding P12.6 billion. Remarkably, the average rate for these three-month securities dipped to 4.579%, a decrease of 8.7 basis points from the previous week, indicating a willingness among investors to accept slightly lower returns.

Similar trends unfolded with the six-month (182-day) T-bills, where P59.818 billion in tenders led to an award of P12.6 billion. The average rate for this tenor also eased, falling by 7.9 basis points to 4.672%, further demonstrating the prevailing downward pressure on yields.

The one-year (364-day) securities mirrored this pattern, with bids totaling P54.89 billion and an award of P12.6 billion. The average yield for these bills experienced a more substantial decline, dropping 13.8 basis points to 4.689% – the most significant decrease across all tenors.

Looking ahead, the Bureau of the Treasury is preparing to re-offer 10-year bonds on Tuesday. A previous auction of these bonds, held in December, successfully raised P20 billion at an average rate of 6.224%, a rate lower than the bonds’ 6.625% coupon.

This month, the Treasury aims to raise a total of P308 billion domestically, with P108 billion coming from T-bills and up to P200 billion from T-bonds. These borrowings are crucial for managing the government’s budget deficit, which is currently capped at P1.647 trillion, representing 5.3% of the country’s gross domestic product for the year.

The government’s reliance on both local and international borrowing is a fundamental aspect of its fiscal strategy, ensuring sufficient funds are available to support essential public services and infrastructure projects while maintaining economic stability.

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