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Europe March 9, 2026

FUEL PRICE APOCALYPSE: Iran War Fuels Pain at the Pump – Are You Next?

FUEL PRICE APOCALYPSE: Iran War Fuels Pain at the Pump – Are You Next?

Long lines snaked around the Costco in Bushey earlier this week, a stark visual of growing anxieties at the fuel pump. Motorists idled for over an hour, desperate to fill their tanks before prices climbed even higher.

The surge in oil prices, now exceeding $100 a barrel, is directly impacting drivers across the nation. The conflict in the Middle East has ignited a rapid increase in petrol and diesel costs, leaving many wondering how much further they will rise.

Since the crisis began on February 28th, the average price of petrol has jumped 5p to 137.5p per litre, while diesel has seen an even steeper increase of 9p, reaching 151p a litre. This translates to a significant financial burden for families.

Cars queueing to get into a petrol station

Consider a typical five-door car with a 42-litre tank. Filling up now could easily cost around £58 – a substantial expense that strains household budgets. The situation is prompting urgent calls for a change in driving habits.

Edmund King, president of the AA, is advising drivers to prioritize essential journeys and adopt more fuel-efficient driving techniques. Every mile saved now could translate into real savings at the pump.

The duration of the current conflict is a key factor. As long as instability persists, the price of oil will likely remain elevated, continuing to ripple through the economy and impacting everyday expenses.

Fire and smoke rise in the Fujairah oil industry zone, caused by debris after interception of a drone by air defenses, according to the Fujairah media office, amid the U.S.-Israel conflict with Iran, in Fujairah, United Arab Emirates, March 4, 2026. REUTERS/Amr Alfiky

Disruptions to vital tanker traffic in the Middle East are already contributing to the wholesale price increases. The crucial Strait of Hormuz, a major artery for global oil supply, faces potential interruptions, exacerbating the problem.

Historical data analyzed by the Energy and Climate Intelligence Unit reveals a clear correlation: when oil trades at $100 a barrel, petrol prices typically reach around 150p per litre. A further increase to $120 a barrel could push prices to a staggering 170p per litre.

The RAC warns that the situation is likely to worsen in the coming weeks. Unleaded petrol is predicted to hit an average of 140p, with diesel potentially climbing to at least 160p a litre, painting a bleak picture for UK drivers.

Mandatory Credit: Photo by Maureen McLean/Shutterstock (16723530h) 4th March, 2026. A tanker delivering fuel to a Shell petrol station in Dedworth, Windsor, Berkshire where today petrol prices were 139.9 and diesel 150.9. American President Donald Trump last weekend together with Israel, launched an attack on Iran. As a result three ships have been hit by Iran in the Strait of Hormuz and the Gulf of Oman. Many oil tankers pass through the Strait of Hormuz which is now effectively closed. Oil prices have risen sharply today following the Iranian conflict. As a result the cost and supply of fuel to petrol stations in the UK is likely to be adversely impacted. Although the UK has plentiful supplies of oil off the coast of Scotland, the Rosebank field, one of the largest untapped fields in UK waters, the licence to extract oil has been overturned War On Iran, Impact upon fuel availability and price, Dedworth, Windsor, Berkshire, UK - 04 Mar 2026

While experts suggest continuing to refuel as needed, they also emphasize the importance of shopping around for the best available prices. A little research could save drivers a significant amount of money with each fill-up.

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